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Showing posts from October, 2018

First Post! What to expect from fantasy football starters (ideally, at least)?

Let's get into what I'm going to call  starter-worthy production. If you're in a 12-team league, with the typical two RB slots to fill, then the top 24 running backs are typically deemed "starters." To get a sense of how things may go for you this week, you visit your favorite rankings site to check out where your guys fall in the top 20 to 30 players at the position. But what point production should you feel good about from those players? Can we find a point threshold that helps identify production worthy of being in your starting lineup? Let's take a look...   I'm defining starter-worthy production for each week as the top 24 scores for RB and WR, and the top 12 scores for QB and TE. The dataset consists of the top scores for each week including 50 for RB/WR, 18 for QB, and 20 for TE. The splits were needed for simplicity and don’t change the analysis. Looking at the visualization below, the blue histogram shows what starter-worthy produ...